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Plaid in poll shock

Tom Bodden

Daily Post, Wales

Wednesday 20 Apr 2005

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PLAID Cymru is on course for a sensational victory in Ynys M=F4n, an opinion
poll predicted last night.

In a knife-edge general election battle with Labour, an opinion poll for
ITV Wales gave former Plaid MEP Eurig Wyn 33% support, ahead of sitting
Labour MP Albert Owen on 29%.

But with two weeks before voters go to the ballot box, 30% of those
questioned are still undecided, making Ynys M=F4n the fiercest battleground
in Wales.

The ITV/NOP poll on the island gave Conservative candidate James Roach 21%;
the Liberal Democrat Sarah Green 10%; rebel former Tory AM now Independent
Peter Rogers 6%; and UKIP's Elaine Gill 2%.

Just 1% of Ynys M=F4n voters would support the Legalise Cannabis candidate,
Tim Evans.

Albert Owen was elected Labour MP with a slim 800 majority after Plaid
Assembly leader Ieuan Wyn Jones stood down from Westminster.

Plaid held the Assembly seat in 2003 and have made the island its number
one priority in next month's parliamentary election.

Eurig Wyn, who lost his European seat when Wales's allocation of MEPs was
reduced from five to four, was immediately adopted as the Plaid candidate
and has been campaigning since last June.

Ynys M=F4n was one of only two constituencies in Wales that changed hands at
the last general election.

The ITV/NOP poll suggests that the so-called "Peter Rogers factor",
combined with a UKIP candidate, is working to undermine Conservative
chances in what otherwise could be a three-way marginal.

Mr Rogers quit the Tories to launch an Independent bid after his ambition
to become official Conservative candidate was thwarted by party bosses.



 

 

 

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