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UK: No place for business in Whitehall's drugs mind games

Graham Searjeant, Financial Editor

The Times

Friday 30 Jan 2004

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LITTLE exercises the liberal mind more creatively than reconciling
impossible contradictions. To the rest of us, it often seems like the right
hand not knowing what the left hand is doing. But that can underestimate
the subtlety of those who devise policies.

For them, it seems perfectly reasonable to lecture us on the need to save
for much bigger pension pots, and at the same time to reduce those pots by
5 billion pounds a year, plus compound interest for up to 40 years. There
is renewed talk of forcing people to save, a measure that would undoubtedly
be followed by further tax raids.


Regulators are firmly instructed to cut the prices of gas, electricity and
water to the lowest level at which supplies will be sustained. Other
policies demand that prices be put up again to cut consumption and protect
nature.

In these cases, there is at least one common thread. Savers, investors and
companies should not make any more money out of these activities than is
absolutely necessary. If possible, these economic activities should be
conducted without anyone making any profit.

That is also about the only thing all parties concerned with currently
illegal recreational drugs agree on. A liberal society cannot effectively
deter users by law. If the authorities want to crack down, they can only
target those who supply what, in spite of the evidence, so many people
still seem to insist on demanding.

At the opposite end of the spectrum, those who want prohibition laws to be
abolished on libertarian grounds, also want regulation to prevent
commercial production and sale. Green Party members, for instance, envisage
social smoking of cannabis at Amsterdam-style drug cafes, with the proceeds
used to finance local community projects.

From yesterday, cannabis (other than cannabis resin) has been downgraded
under the Misuse of Drugs Act 1971. Instead of being Class B, where it
ranked alongside amphetamines but below cocaine,heroin, and Ecstasy, to
Class C, where police do not normally arrest people for possession in
private. The perception that cannabis was no longer very illegal persuaded
ministers to place advertisements to say the contrary. At the same time,
substances tagged 'date rape' drugs were made illegal, as were several more
varieties of steroids recently put on the International Olympic Committee
banned list.

Any confusion is intentional. The Office for National Statistics most
recently estimated that one third of men below 25 have used cannabis within
the previous 12 months, along with one in five young women. However,
cannabis was not redesignated on social grounds, or to win votes. The
change was made to improve relations between police and groups of young men
and to free police time for more serious crime (as well as to fill in more
forms monitoring and comparing the effectiveness of different speed
cameras). The change is not expected to have much impact on the cannabis
trade, which remains wholly illegal.

People trying to open a new bank, savings or investment account may have
mixed feelings about this. Under bureaucratic new money-laundering
regulations, they are liable to have to produce multiple official evidence
of who they are. This is not merely inconvenient for consumers. Taken with
other controls, it raises costs and deters innovation in financial
services. Another layer of procedures, monitoring and dedicated managers is
being grafted on to the compliance system, data recording and marketing
supervision.

As long as we have a large, profitable but illegal trade in all manner of
prohibited drugs, however, regulations against money-laundering are likely
to fail. They will be just costly gestures that make the economy work less
efficiently.

No one knows how big the UK drugs trade is. It is illegal so it is not
publicly recorded. Estimates tend to reflect the attitudes of whoever is
making them. A Home Office study a couple of years ago suggested that
annual sales of cannabis alone were about 1.5 billion pounds. A consultancy
called the Independent Drug Monitoring Unit (IDMU), which advises courts,
puts cannabis at 5 billion pounds. Others, not inclined to underplay the
issue, suggest 8 billion pounds, with a further 6 billion pounds for
cocaine and heroin.

Taking the IDMU figure, it seems likely that the trade in all the main
illegal drugs is about 1 per cent of gross domestic product. That is
comfortably more, for instance, than pre-duty sales of beer.

The cost of keeping this trade illegal, without taking effective measures
to eliminate it, is heavy. The profitability of the trade is based on the
product being addictive and the trade illegal.

This combination keeps prices of some drugs so high that most addicts
cannot afford to buy them regularly. A vast load of petty, fear-inducing
and unsolved crime is committed by consumers. Producers are probably
responsible for an equally high proportion of serious gun crime, which is
expensive and extremely hard to prosecute successfully.

The entire industry pays no tax. If it did, income tax might be cut by up
to two pence in the pound and still raise as much revenue.

Potentially, all the money raised in this trade might need to be laundered.
The supply chains are so long that it is hard to say how much money sticks
where. Doubtless, however, many cash businesses exist that would not be
worth running if they were not used to launder drug money. Regulations on
banks are unlikely to make much difference at this level. The illegal drugs
trade is also ideal for transferring funds across the world for nefarious
purposes, including providing the funds for many terrorism groups.

As cannabis slides down the legal scale, prices have been falling. That
reduces crime, especially among soft drug users. As with electricity (or
Ecstasy), however, you would expect a fall in price to increase sales,
which is the main drawback of making the drug fully legal and commercial.
These compromises may satisfy refined Whitehall intellects. They still make
no sense.



 

 

 

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